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Nearly two years ago I wrote a column
which caused an instant e-mail overload. Yes, I said, with oil then nearing
$50 a barrel many in the U.S. would soon want the tiny cars found throughout
Europe and Asia, cars not much bigger than a ski-mobile that get 50 miles
per gallon and often better.
Various e-mails said such vehicles would never make it in the U.S.
market; that they were too small in our SUV-ladened highways and that the
mere thought of small cars on U.S. streets was essentially unpatriotic.
Oh well.
Last week DaimlerChrysler announced
that its "smart" (with a small "s") cars would be
entering the U.S. in 2008.
The smart is among a breed of European and Asian mini-cars and trucks
that get incredible mileage, look great and are cheap to operate. Already
available in Canada, smart cars are within the realm of affordability for
virtually everyone.
The need for fuel-efficient cars is a by-product of common sense and our
need for reduced oil usage. There's no question that oil and access to it
are at the heart of a host of political and economic issues.
As Kevin Phillips explains in his new book, American Theocracy,
"Since the early twentieth century the world's age of oil has been an
era of American supremacy. Few doubt the interrelationship. Not merely a
symbol of U.S. global power, petroleum has been the fuel for military might,
twentieth century supremacy, and the latter-day SUV gas-hog culture. Oil
abundance has always been part of what America fights for, as well as
with."
We're now racking up international debt at better than $2 billion a day
-- and much of our overall spending relates to oil at $70 a barrel and the
higher costs it creates throughout the economy, costs which make us less
competitive. The way things are going, we'll add more than $800
billion to our tab in 2006.
To see this in context, consider that our gross domestic product -- all
that we produce -- is about $13
trillion a year. In essence, for every dollar we earn we're spending
$1.06. Already there's an effort to price oil in a currency other than
dollars, a change that would greatly increase our energy costs. Eventually
the happy people who now lend us money will decide that our credit is not so
good and either raise the interest rates they charge or they'll take their
lending elsewhere to protect their currency from devaluation.
You can see this process in action with a business that's really good at
spending but not so good at earning. To finance its operations and
expansion, the company borrows in the marketplace.
At first, investors are happy to buy the company's bonds because they
think company profits will repay the debt and interest over time. However,
as negative results pile up year-after-year, investors increasingly see the
company as more risky and thus require more interest before they will buy
additional debt. In time the company is only able to issue high-cost
"junk" bonds which means that its credit expenses will be far
steeper than competitors, a cost which makes competition more difficult.
Eventually, if the company doesn't turn around, investors will no longer
lend to it at any interest rate. Bonds will be re-sold at pennies for the
dollar. The remaining bondholders will become the new owners, the old
shareholders will get zip and the new owners will move immediately to
downsize the company.
Our federal government has no effective, realistic oil-reduction program
and thus it has no effective, realistic economic plan. As with the levees in
New Orleans, we are told and re-told that everything looks great -- at least
until it rains.
As well, without a believable oil-reduction program we cannot have a
credible effort to curtail global warming. Global warning theories used to
be belittled and derided, but now it's hard to ignore. In the past week the IRS
headquarters building in Washington, DC was closed because of flooding
-- evidence of either new weather patterns or divine retribution.
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